Condo Market Settles Down to a Less-Frantic Pace
September 25th, 2006Younger Home Buyers More Prevalent
September 23rd, 2006|
Younger Home Buyers More Prevalent
Thursday, September 21, 2006 - |
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WASHINGTON, D.C. - As they begin to enter the housing market, many consumers in their 20s are more likely to buy a home at a younger age than their older brothers and sisters as well as their baby boomer parents, and are not necessarily waiting for marriage or even a long-term relationship before becoming homeowners.
“The next generation of homeowners is beginning to exert its influence on the housing market,” said ThomasM.Stevens, National Association of Realtors president from Vienna, Va., and senior vice president of NRT Inc. “Many younger buyers have seen the wealth-building effects of homeownership in their parents and understand the value of housing as a good long-term investment.”The motivations, interests, and home buying approach of some younger buyers are chronicled in “Tomorrow’s Buyers: Who They Are and What They Want” in the September 2006 issue of REALTOR Magazine. The report integrates NAR research with the experiences and attitudes of real-life buyers who represent different demographic populations, putting a human face on statistical trends. The percentage of first-time homebuyers under age 25 has been increasing in response to historically low interest rates and continued confidence in the long-term housing market, from 11 percent in 2001 to 14 percent in 2005, according to the 2005 NAR Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers. “Owning a home is no more burdensome than renting, and in the long term, it’s the better investment,” said KristenCarreira, a 26-year-old homeowner in Pittsburgh.Carreira is also part of a trend in single female home buyers. While married couples are still the norm, they represent a smaller share of the home buying public than they did just 10 years ago, from 70 percent of home buyers in 1995 to 61 percent today, says NAR. During that same time, the proportion of single women buying homes has increased, from 14 percent in 1995 to 21 percent today. Younger buyers are also likely to use technology and the Internet in their home buying search. In 2005, according to NAR research, the median age of buyers who used the Internet to search for homes was 11 years younger than those who did not, at 38 and 49, respectively. “Realtors have adapted to meet the needs of this growing population of young home buyers,” said Stevens. “More than one-third of NAR’s 1.3 million Realtor members have had special training and lots of experience in buyer representation and technology. That expertise is reflected in special designations and certifications, such as the Accredited Buyer Representative (ABR) designation and e-PRO certification. A commitment to understanding the demands of this changing marketplace is just one more way Realtors add value to the real estate transaction.” |
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PMI: Home Price Deline Increses
September 22nd, 2006The fall index scores increased for all of the nation’s 50 largest metropolitan statistical areas and showed a 32.8 percent chance that home prices will decline in the next two years. However, strong economic fundamentals continue to underpin many cities. The index also showed that 18 MSAs have at least a 50 percent change of home price decline, up from 13 MSAs last quarter, the report said.
While annual appreciation remained in the double digits in 20 MSAs and topped 20 percent in four – Phoenix, Orlando, Miami and Tampa, — the rate of appreciation slowed in 41 of the 50 largest MSAs. In 13 areas, appreciation dropped below the historical norm of roughly four to six percent. Detroit recorded the only year-over-year decline, 0.61 percent, among the top 50 MSAs.
The risk of price declines continues to be concentrated in California and along the Eastern Seaboard, the report shows. California is home to eight of the 18 MSAs facing a greater than 50 percent chance of a price decline (San Diego, Sacramento, Oakland, Santa Ana, Riverside, Los Angeles, San Jose, and San Francisco). The Northeast is also home to eight (Nassau-Suffolk, New York, Boston, Cambridge, Providence, Edison, Newark, and Washington, DC). The remaining two are Fort Lauderdale and Las Vegas.
However, in most areas, the risk of price declines continues to be balanced by strong economic fundamentals, PMI’s Fall 2006 Economic and Real Estate Trends report found. Unemployment remains low in most of the country and job growth is positive, with the exception of the upper Midwest. All but four of the top 50 MSAs (Detroit and Warren, Mich., Newark and New Orleans) saw employment growth. Las Vegas led the nation in employment growth at 5.32 percent over the past year, followed closely by Phoenix at 5.20 percent. In the upper Midwest, rising unemployment is putting pressure on prices, resulting in Detroit’s year-over-year decline.
The PMI U.S. Market Risk Index, published quarterly, is based on the House Price Index from the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight, labor market statistics from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the PMI Affordability Index, which uses local median household income, home price appreciation, and the price of a conventional mortgage to calculate the local share of mortgage payment to income relative to its baseline year of 1995.